## Probability

**Math 151, Spring 2019**

Jo Hardin

2351 Millikan

jo.hardin@pomona.edu

**Office Hours: 10-noon Tuesday, 1:30-3:30 Thursday, 10-11 Friday, or by appointment**

**Mentors: Brandon Tran & Elise Koselo, Tues & Thurs 6-8pm, 2131 Millikan**

Exam 1 (in class: Wednesday 2/27, take-home: 3/6)

Exam 2 (in class: Friday 4/5, take-home: 4/12)

Final Exam (Wed 5/15/19, 9am)

Text: **Probability and Statistics**, by DeGroot and Schervish (either the 3rd or 4th edition is fine)

**Handouts:**

- Youtube videos on getting started with R and RStudio: Introduction to RStudio
- Enough R: http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/mosaic/vignettes/V1MinimalR.pdf
- Google for R: http://www.rseek.org/
- Data Wrangling Cheatsheet: http://www.rstudio.com/resources/cheatsheets/
- R tutorial
- Great tutorials through the Coding Club
- An Introduction to R, Venables & Smith
- R Language Definition, R Core Team
- Another tutorial, with exercises & solutions

** Description:**

- Math 151 is an introduction to probability for students with a calculus background and no prerequisites of probability or statistics. Though the course will be focused on the theoretical aspects of the material, there will be some real world applications in class and in the homework assignments. The idea is to have a strong mathematical understanding of the concepts while also understanding how the concepts are applied in the real world.

**Prerequisites:**

- The prerequisite is completion of the sequence of calculus and linear algebra. We rely heavily on the prerequisites, and students with no background in multivariable calculus will find themselves trying to catch up throughout the semester.

**Homework:**

- Homework will be assigned from the text and due every Friday. No late homework is accepted, but one homework grade will be dropped.

**Computing:**

- R and RStudio will be used for homework assignments.
- You can use R on the Pomona server: https://rstudio.campus.pomona.edu/ (All Pomona students will be able to log in immediately. Non-Pomona students need to go to ITS at Pomona to get Pomona login information.)
- Alternatively, feel free to download R onto your own computer. R is freely available at http://www.r-project.org/ and is already installed on college computers. Additionally, you are required to install R Studio and turn in all R assignments using R Markdown. http://rstudio.org/. (You can use the LaTeX compiler at: https://yihui.name/tinytex/)

**Participation:**

- This class will be very interactive which means that you are not only expected to come to class but also to participate in class. There will often be assignments due during class periods, and I will expect everyone to be actively participating in any activities which take place during the class. In class assignments and activities will contribute to your participation grade. (
**No computer use in class**.)

**Academic Honesty:**

- Pomona College is an academic community, all of whose members are expected to abide by ethical standards both in their conduct and in their exercise of responsibilities toward other members of the community. The college expects students to understand and adhere to basic standards of honesty and academic integrity. These standards include, but are not limited to, the following:
- In projects and assignments prepared independently, students never represent the ideas or the language of others as their own.
- Students do not destroy or alter either the work of other students or the educational resources and materials of the College.
- Students neither give nor receive assistance in examinations.
- Students do not take unfair advantage of fellow students by representing work completed for one course as original work for another or by deliberately disregarding course rules and regulations.
- In laboratory or research projects involving the collection of data, students accurately report data observed and do not alter these data for any reason.

**Advice:**

- Please feel free to stop by, email, or call if you have any questions about or difficulty with the material, the computing, the projects, or the course. Come see me as soon as possible if you find yourself struggling. The material will build on itself, so it will be much easier to catch up if the concepts get clarified earlier rather than later. Enjoy!

**Grading:**

- 25% Homework
- 20% Midterm Exams each
- 25% Final Exam
- 10% Class Participation