Statistical Theory
Fall 2020 – Math 152 HW Schedule
Work Parties (fka Office Hours) — on Discord (see Sakai for link)
Wednesday 8:30-10:30 am PDT
Thursday 12 – 2:00 pm PDT
Friday 7-9am PDT
Mentors: TBA
Text: Probability and Statistics, by DeGroot and Schervish (either 3rd or 4th edition is fine)
- Handouts:
- Distribution Sheet
- Probability distribution demos: ISLE widgets
- Fantastic cheat sheet for Univariate Distributions created by Lindsey Leemis
- Clicker Questions
| Week | Topic | Sections | Homework (due Friday at midnight to Gradescope) | Handouts
(all videos are on Box) |
Warm-ups (due by 5pm day after dated, to Gradescope) |
| 1. 8/25 | logistics, priors, posteriors | 7.1-7.2 | HWset #1 pdf & R Markdown | Instructions for submitting assignments via Gradescope
Videos: 8/25 – R |
Warm-up 1: 8/25 |
| 2. 9/1 | posteriors, Bayes estimators | 7.3, 7.4 | HWset #2 pdf & R Markdown | Warm-up 3: 9/1 | |
| 3. 9/8 | MLE, consistency, bias, MOM | 7.5, 7.6 | HWset #3 pdf & R Markdown | Baseball & Bayes | Warm-up 5: 9/8 |
| 4. 9/15 | sampling distributions of estimators | 6.1-6.3, 8.1-8.4 | HWset #4 pdf & R Markdown | Tanks | Warm-up 7: 9/15
|
| 5. 9/22 | bootstrap sampling distributions | 12.6 | HWset #5 pdf & R Markdown | Warm-up 9: 9/22 | |
| 6. 9/29 | frequentist, Bayesian, intervals | 8.5, 8.6 | not ever due:
HWset #6 pdf & R Markdown |
Bayes Dist of Normal | Warm-up 11: 9/29 |
| Monday 10/5 | exam 1 take-home | due Monday at 5pm | |||
| 7. 10/6 | bootstrap confidence intervals
|
OPTIONAL
HWset #7 pdf & R Markdown |
Bootstrapping example pdf & R Markdown | Warm-up 13: 10/6
|
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| 8. 10/13 | Fisher information, efficiency, UMVUE | 8.7, 8.8 | HWset #8 pdf & R Markdown | Fisher Information & Curvature pdf & R Markdown | Warm-up 15: 10/13 |
| 9. 10/20 | hypothesis testing | 9.1 | HWset #9 pdf & R Markdown | Warm-up 17: 10/20 | |
| 10. 10/27 | simple hypotheses | 9.1 | HWset #10 pdf & R Makdown | Warm-up 19: 10/27
No Thursday Warm-up |
|
| 11. 11/3 | Neyman-Pearson | 9.2 | No class 11/3, please vote!!! | ||
| 12. 11/10 | UMP, two-sided | 9.3-9.4 | Due Tuesday 11/10 | Warm-up 21: 11/10 | |
| Monday 11/16 | exam 2 take-home | due Monday at 5pm | |||
| 13. 11/17 | t-tests, LRT, goodness of fit | 9.5-9.6, 10.1 | Warm-up 23: 11/17 | ||
| 14. 11/24 | Bayes tests, foundational ideas | 9.8-9.9 | Due Wednesday 11/25 | ||
| Friday 12/4 | final take-home due |
